HUNGARIAN OPENING NATIONAL
SAPRI FORUM
6-8 June 1998
Civil Society Perspectives
on Economic-Reform Measures
The Hungarian Opening
National SAPRI Forum was held on 6-8 June in the historic town of
Esztergom, northwest of Budapest. The Forum was organized by a national
steering committee of the local civil-society network, SAPRIN, composed of
22 members that include large trade-union alliances, farmers'
organizations, the National Alliance of Small Industries, and other key
constituency groups. Organizing efforts were coordinated by the lead
organization in Hungary, the Alliance of Social Associations (ASA).
Approximately 180 people participated in the three-day event, including
over 100 civil-society representatives. The World Bank was represented by
six officials from Washington and Budapest, while the Ministry of Finance
led the government delegation, which included the participation of four
government State Secretaries and ten ministerial department heads. Also
present were four representatives of the global SAPRIN Steering Committee
and officials from the IMF and the ILO.
Through extensive outreach to ten regions of
the country, and after considerable review with the Bank/government team,
the local civil-society steering committee chose four priority issues for
consideration at the Forum. After introductions by the Bank and government
on each issue, civil-society representatives from various sectors and
population groups -- educators, health-care workers, women's and family
associations, trade unions, farmers, small businesses, environmentalists --
presented analysis and perspectives on that topic. The presentations were
followed by debate and broader discussion. The civil-society assessment of
the effectiveness and impact of four areas of the country's economic-reform
program supported by the Bank and Fund is summarized below.
I. Public-Finance
Reform: Impact on Social Services and the Population's Economic Security
It was documented that,
through 1996, the government's social expenditures in Hungary had fallen
in both real and nominal terms, limiting both the quality and the scope of
these services. These budget cuts have had far-reaching negative effects in
specific areas of activity, including housing, education, health, small-enterprise
development and women's economic advancement. The greatest decreases were
price, residential and family subsidies, which fell 65 percent, 80 percent
and 50 percent, respectively. A decrease in housing subsidies was a strict
condition of one of the Bank's structural adjustment loans, leading to the
elimination of low-cost housing loans, a move questioned by citizens, given
the country's intense population pressures. In addition, many pensioners
have been forced out of their homes.
Public spending on health
care has been reduced to a level which places it sixth from the bottom out
of 26 budgetary sectors. Among other problems, this has caused the health
system to rely on outdated equipment and places it 20 years behind Western
European technology. In the area of education, cuts in public expenditures
radically reduced teachers' real salaries by 30 percent between 1994 and
1997, with 8,600 teachers dismissed from higher education institutions
alone, undermining the viability of the education system. These layoffs have
led to a radical increase in the number of classes for which teachers are
responsible, as well as an increase in the number of students per class.
Under the adjustment program,
the government passed a law that made education funding the responsibility
of local governments, which then would receive national government
contributions based on student-enrollment figures. A vicious cycle has been
created whereby many local governments do not have sufficient resources to
fund the schools, leading to higher drop-out rates, which in turn has led to
decreased national funding. Significant segments of the educational system
have also been privatized, including the entire nursery-school system,
school dormitories (which were put under the control of a hotel chain) and
day-care centers. Fees for books have also increased, and many families are
now unable to afford them.
The government and the Bank have
touted the success of pension reform. Yet, with nearly one million people
now transferred to the new pension system, the national budget deficit has
escalated dramatically. While the government foots the bill, domestic and
international financial interests are benefitting from the available pool of
capital. Civil-society forum participants agreed that the national budget
needs reform, but questioned whether long-range community interests are
being served through pension reform while other social services are
sacrificed.
As a result of cuts in social
expenditures, more family needs must now be covered with household funds. At
the same time, however, some 70 percent of the Hungarian people have seen
their real wages fall by at least 40 percent. Many are now spending as much
as 80 percent of their income on rent. This leaves less for food and other
essentials, evidenced by the fact that nutritional consumption declined some
13 percent in the 1990s, with per capita meat and milk consumption dropping
by 15 percent and 28 percent respectively.
According to forum participants,
government social policy under adjustment has been driven by a model of the
single-income family, with women relegated to the background even though
their responsibilities have increased tremendously in terms of child
rearing, caring for elderly family members, running the household, and so
forth. Public-sector layoffs have sharply increased unemployment among
women, many of whom have been unable to find their way back into the labor
market. Extensive layoffs have also hurt the economy due to the costs of re-hiring
and then re-training workers.
Policy recommendations made by
participants included proposals to establish loan financing for private
households, particularly for those which cannot pay current market housing
rates or cover their higher gas bills. It was also suggested that there be
significant investment in increasing the knowledge base of youth, who have
been among the hardest hit by the economic-reform program. Similarly, there
was support for the new government's position that education should be
entirely free, with no fees required.
II. Trade and Price
Liberalization: Impact on Hungarian Enterprises and Consumers
As a result of liberalization,
industrial productivity in Hungary dropped by 25 percent, agricultural
productivity by 35 percent, and the GDP by 18 percent. Small and medium-sized
enterprises involved in production and retail services have been
particularly hard hit, and many eliminated, by the country's rapid-paced
open trade policy. Most of these businesses simply have not been able to
compete with the flood of cheap, high-quality imports. As they employ about
70 percent of all Hungarian workers, civil-society participants argued that
these firms deserve, but have not received, special consideration. The
retail-trade sector, in particular, has been in crisis due to the entry of
international supermarket chains, selling primarily imported food stuffs, a
development that has also devastated Hungarian food producers. This entry of
supermarkets and cheap goods from abroad, which has also been facilitated by
the privatization process, has distorted national consumption away from
local products, like milk, that are of high quality in Hungary.
Hence, a closer look at both
retail and agricultural trade, and a reconsideration of economic policy in
these areas, were said to be essential. Tens of thousands of small shops
have lost or will lose their viability without medium-sized enterprises to
integrate them into a larger system, and the World Bank and other
institutions were urged to help modernize the larger enterprises. It was
also suggested that small agricultural producers be directly assisted
through tax policy and be integrated into a system similar to the Danish
cooperative model.
The plight of small producers
has also been greatly exacerbated, participants explained, by the growth of
unemployment and poverty and the fall in effective demand. Under
liberalization, there was a drop in domestic demand of about 15 percent
between 1989 and 1994, with per capita food consumption down sharply. This
drop in consumption, disposable income and domestic demand can be explained
by the fact that some 1.5 million Hungarians have lost their jobs, minimum
salaries are being taxed, and utility rates, pharmaceutical costs, school-related
expenses and other household expenditures have all risen substantially due
to the nature of the country's public-finance reform. People were not ready
for the high unemployment caused by the reforms, and the country is badly in
need of a real social policy, it was argued, but little has been done about
the growing impoverishment of a significant segment of the population. For
those still employed, wages have not been able to keep pace with inflation:
between 1989 and 1997, purchasing power declined by some 20 percent. This
period has also been marked by growing income inequality, further skewing
local demand patterns.
III. Privatization of the
Industrial Sector: Impact on Production, Employment and the
Concentration of Wealth
According to the World Bank,
Hungary has undergone the most comprehensive privatization process of any
East-Central European country. Civil-society participants remarked that the
process has been extremely fast paced, has been plagued by corruption and
cronyism, and has had a negative impact on workers and on the value of
firms. Thus, it is not surprising that a 1994 survey showed that only 35
percent of the population approved of the process. Between 1990 and 1996, 11
percent of state-owned firms (in terms of total equity capital) were
liquidated, and another 20 percent of the value of the original equity
capital was lost due to the privatization process. Privatization, automation
and the loss of the Soviet market have led to a 30 percent reduction in the
country's workforce, effected in part through early retirement. Romas, or
gypsies, have been hurt the most, as they have historically performed the
dirtiest work at the lowest pay but were forgotten during the privatization
process and were thrown back into absolute hopelessness.
In addition to efforts by
employers to obstruct the formation of unions, participants argued that the
very real threat of unemployment has also led workers to compromise their
own rights. With the economic architects not wanting to slow down the
process of privatization, employers have proceeded to sweep aside trade
unions. Payment of salaries has often been late and, with no limit on
overtime, workers are often forced to work 6-7 day weeks, according to labor
representatives. It has become common practice, the participants said, for
newly privatized companies to contract employees for only one to three
months at a time, leaving the workers in a highly vulnerable situation. In
addition, they explained that safety standards are low, with most privatized
firms unwilling to adhere to safety regulations or to adequately invest in
plant improvements. Although the participants primarily blamed employers for
the problems facing workers, they did note that the Employment Code that
came into effect in 1992 weakened the rights of labor unions, indirectly
contributing to a decrease in union membership.
Privatization has also
contributed to an increasing concentration of wealth in the country. The Law
on Economic Partnership, passed in 1988, allows the heads of state-owned
enterprises to place a part of the company's assets (usually the most
productive ones) into a private partnership. These directors inevitably
became the owners of these partnerships, meaning that the privatization
process has managed to transfer public assets into the hands of a few,
influential individuals.
IV. Reform of the Public Utility
Sector: Impact on Workers and Consumers
Participants pointed out that
many people have also lost their jobs in the process of privatization of
public utilities, which is not yet completed. In the electrical-energy
industry alone, 9,000 jobs have been abolished in the beginning phase of the
privatization process. The national government, it was charged, did not live
up to the commitments it made to the unions. One result has been that many
maintenance people have been laid off, thus also negatively affecting
consumers, who have lost services. Forum participants called for investors
who purchase enterprises to negotiate a collective bargaining agreement with
the unions.
The government originally took
the position that privatization of public utilities was necessary in order
to increase their working capital. However, faced with fiscal shortages,
local governments have sold their management rights of public utilities for
as little as 25 percent of the company's value, as in the case of the
Budapest Waterworks. In addition, revenue from privatization has not been
invested in improving services, while rates have been increased in order to
guarantee returns to private investors. According to civil-society
participants, the move to privatize public utilities was a result of
pressure from the World Bank. They argued it was an error both because of
job losses and because of the lost government income from service provision.
Some Conclusions and Next Steps
Civil-society participants
explained how liberalization and privatization programs and budgetary
policy, implemented in their country under IFI guidance, had increased both
poverty and unemployment while substantially diminishing demand and the
capacity of local enterprises. Education, health care and food production
have been sacrificed under the new economic system, it was argued, while
workers, youth, women, pensioners and romas, along with small businesses and
farms have suffered the greatest losses. Further investigation and an
exploration of alternatives in most of these sectors is being planned by a
civil-society/World Bank/government team.
It was also suggested that a
serious look be taken at the rational behind Hungary's privatization
program, at the negative effects of private monopolies, and at the
possibilities of greater regulation in this sphere. With the liberalization
of the economy, world prices have been introduced into Hungary while
salaries remain one-tenth those in the European Union, so ways must be
found, it was urged, to protect the particularly hardest-hit consumers. It
was agreed that a field-based examination of any or all of these issues
would require an assessment of the impact of economic-reform policies
differentiated by gender and region.
Photos from the Opening National SAPRI Forum
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